Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.011358 0.013795 0.016872 0.021139 0.027072 0.035309 0.048163
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.008277 0.010916 0.014687 0.020774 0.031038 0.049254 0.089064
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.006449 0.008892 0.012633 0.019243 0.031870 0.058603 0.136296
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005378 0.007659 0.011337 0.018303 0.033038 0.069549 0.211993
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004746 0.006955 0.010685 0.018227 0.035861 0.087532 0.379989
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004346 0.006544 0.010423 0.018789 0.040508 0.117581 0.861613
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003969 0.006102 0.010001 0.018864 0.044017 0.150774 2.172283
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003569 0.005562 0.009289 0.018064 0.044556 0.173183 5.118337
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003279 0.005182 0.008825 0.017724 0.046462 0.209775 23.554641
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003140 0.005061 0.008861 0.018651 0.053639 0.312287 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003062 0.005040 0.009100 0.020215 0.065089 0.545440 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002982 0.005004 0.009300 0.021763 0.078729 1.047072 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002779 0.004725 0.008956 0.021741 0.085790 1.748945 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002577 0.004429 0.008533 0.021365 0.091040 2.953498 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002340 0.004036 0.007818 0.019775 0.086483 3.366598 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002161 0.003746 0.007316 0.018799 0.085656 4.600432 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002043 0.003574 0.007082 0.018720 0.092024 10.460926 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001965 0.003480 0.007029 0.019304 0.105692 71.708415 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001874 0.003349 0.006858 0.019381 0.115500 7211.973874 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001758 0.003152 0.006491 0.018551 0.114415 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001669 0.003010 0.006253 0.018198 0.118825 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001632 0.002980 0.006314 0.019160 0.143610 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001615 0.002992 0.006497 0.020785 0.188191 NaN NaN